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C    S5-J;t\T      G/a 


Atlas  of  Climatology  and 

Variability  in  the 

GFDL  R30S14  GCM 

Michael  A.  Alexander  and  James  D.  Scott 


60N 


30N 


-16-12-8-4  0  4  8  12  16  20  24  28  32  36  40  44  48  52  56  60 

University  of  Colorado 
Cooperative  Institute  for  Research  in  Environmental  Sciences 


National  Oceanic  and  Atmospheric  Administration 

Climate  Diagnostics  Center 

Geophysical  Fluid  Dynamics  Laboratory 


December,  1995 


Digitized  by  the  Internet  Archive 

in  2013 


••»       *.   :: 


r 
.'      .f  ■ 


http://archive.org/details/atlasofclimatoloOOalex 


Atlas  of  Climatology 
and  Variability  in  the 
GFDL  R30S14  GCM 


Michael  A.  Alexander 

James  D.  Scott 

University  of  Colorado 

CIRES 

December,  1995 


Pennsylvania  State  University 
Libraries 

FEB  1  5  1996 

Documents  Collection 
U.S.  Depository  Copy 


University  of  Colorado 

Cooperative  Institute  for  Research  in  Environmental  Sciences 

National  Oceanic  and  Atmospheric  Administration 
Climate  Diagnostics  Center 
Geophysical  Fluid  Dynamics  Laboratory 


Notice 

Mention  of  a  commercial  product  does  not  constitute  an  endorsement  by  the  Univer- 
sity o\  Colorado  or  the  National  Oceanic  and  Atmospheric  Administration.  Use  for 
publicity  or  advertising  purposes,  of  information  from  this  publication  concerning 
propriet}  products  or  the  tests  of  such  products,  is  not  authorized. 


Cover  Illustration:  200mb  U  wind  speed  (m/s)  for  December,  January,  February  mean  conditions 
from  the  GFDL  R30S14  model  run. 


Acknowledgments 


The  GCM  used  in  this  study  was  developed  by  the  Climate  Dynamics  Group  at  the 
Geophysical  Fluid  Dynamics  Laboratory,  headed  by  Syukuro  Manabe.  Peter  Phil- 
lips performed  the  R30S14  GCM  simulation  and  also  provided  the  model  documen- 
tation and  output.  We  are  grateful  to  Isaac  Held  and  Gebriel  Lau  for  their  careful 
review  and  many  suggestions  for  improving  the  Atlas.  We  would  also  like  to  thank 
Jeff  Whitaker  and  Mark  Borges  for  their  comments. 

This  Atlas  was  developed  as  part  of  the  GFDL-University  Consortium  project,  which 
is  sponsered  by  the  Office  of  Global  Programs  at  the  National  Oceanic  and  Atmo- 
spheric Administration. 


in 


Tabic  of  COntonts: 

1  isi  of  Figures page  v 

1  isi  of  Symbols page  xii 

1 .  Introduction page  1 

2.  Data  Analysis page  1 

3.  References page  4 

4.  Zonal  Mean  Vertical  Cross-sections page  6 

5.  Seasonal  Means  on  Pressure  and  Sigma  Surfaces page  28 

6.  Seasonal  Mean  Surface  Plots page  72 

InterannuaJ  Variability:  Interannual  Standard  Deviations  and  EOF's page  91 

8.  Middle  Latitude  Processes page  101 

9.  Tropical  Processes page  1 16 


IV 


List  of  Figures: 

Figure  i:  R30  Model  Topography  (m) page  5 

Figure  1:  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  and  Potential  Temperature  (°  K) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  6 

Figure  2:  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  and  Potential  Temperature  (°  K) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  7 

Figure  3:  Meridional  Wind  (m/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  8 

Figure  4:  Meridional  Wind  (m/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  9 

Figure  5:  Meridional  Mass-Stream  Function  (xlO     kg/s) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  10 

Figure  6:  Meridional  Mass-Stream  Function  (xlO10  kg/s) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  11 

Relative  Humidity  (%)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  12 

Relative  Humidity  (%)  for  JJA  and  SON page  13 

Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  14 

Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  JJA  and  SON page  15 

Fractional  Cloudiness  (%)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  16 

Fractional  Cloudiness  (%)  for  JJA  and  SON page  17 

Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  18 

Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)  for  JJA  and  SON page  19 

Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C  •  m/s) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  20 

Figure  16:        Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C-m/s) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  21 

Figure  17:        3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C  •  m/s) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  22 

Figure  18:         3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C  •  m/s) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  23 


Figure 

7: 

Figure 

8: 

Figure 

9: 

Figure 

10 

Figure 

11 

Figure 

12 

Figure 

13 

Figure 

14 

Figure 

15 

Figure  19:         Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m~/s2) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  24 

Figure  20:         Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m2/s2) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  25 

Figure  1 1 :         3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum 

(m2/s2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  26 


Figure  22:         3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum 


~>  i  ~> 


(m-Vs-)  for  JJA  and  SON page  27 

Figure  23:         700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(°C)   Northern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  28 

Figure  24:         700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(°C)   Northern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  29 

Figure  25:         700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

( °C)   Southern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  30 

Figure  26:         700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(°C)   Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  31 

Figure  27:         500mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(ni)  Northern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  32 

Figure  28:         500mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Northern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  33 

Figure  29:         500mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Southern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  34 

Figure  30:         500mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  35 

Figure  3  1 :         200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Northern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  36 

Figure  32:         200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Northern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  37 

Figure  33:         200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

On)  Southern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  and  MAM page  38 

200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean 

(m)  Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  and  SON page  39 

200mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  40 


VI 


Figure  36:         200mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  41 

Figure  37:         200mb  Meridional  Wind  (m/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  42 

Figure  38:         200mb  Meridional  Wind  (m/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  43 

Figure  39:        200mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  DJF page  44 

Figure  40:         200mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  MAM page  45 

Figure  41:         200mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  JJA page  46 

Figure  42:         200mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  SON page  47 

Figure  43:        850mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  DJF page  48 

Figure  44:         850mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  MAM page  49 

Figure  45:        850mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  JJA page  50 

Figure  46:        850mb  Wind  Speed  and  Vectors  (m/s)  for  SON page  5 1 

Figure  47:        850mb  Velocity  Potential  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  52 

Figure  48:         850mb  Velocity  Potential  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  53 

Figure  49:         200mb  Velocity  Potential  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  54 

Figure  50:         200mb  Velocity  Potential  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  55 

Figure  5 1 :        850mb  Stream  Function  (x  1 06  m2/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  56 

Figure  52:        850mb  Stream  Function  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  57 

Figure  53:        200mb  Stream  Function  (xl06m2/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  58 

Figure  54:         200mb  Stream  Function  (xlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  59 

Figure  55:        850mb  Specific  Humidity  (g/kg)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  60 

Figure  56:         850mb  Specific  Humidity  (g/kg)  for  JJA  and  SON page  61 

Figure  57:        500mb  Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  62 

Figure  58:         500mb  Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  JJA  and  SON page  63 


VII 


Figure  59:         1  .o\\  I  c\  el  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.997,  0.979,  0.935  (%) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  64 

Figure  60:         I  .ow  Level  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.997,  0.979,  0.935  (%) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  65 

Figure  61:         Mid  Level  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.568,  0.46  (%) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  66 

Figure  62:         Mid  Level  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.568,  0.46  (%) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  67 

Figure  63:         High  Level  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.355,  0.257  (%) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  68 

Figure  64:         High  Level  Clouds:  Composite  of  sigma  levels  0.355,  0.257(%) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  69 

Figure  65:         Mass  Weighted  Vertical  Integral  of  Net  Diabatic  Heating 

(°C/day)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  70 

Figure  66:         Mass  Weighted  Vertical  Integral  of  Net  Diabatic  Heating 

(°C/da\)  for  JJA  and  SON page  71 

Figure  67:         Precipitation  (mm/day)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  72 

Figure  68:         Precipitation  (mm/day)  for  JJA  and  SON page  73 

Figure  69:         Mean  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  74 

Figure  70:         Mean  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb)  for  JJA  and  SON page  75 

Figure  7 1 :         Wind  Speed  (m/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  76 

1  igure  72:         Wind  Speed  (m/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  77 

Figure  73:         Wind  Stress  (N/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  78 

Figure  74:         Wind  Stress  (N/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  79 

Figure  75:         Sensible  Heat  flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  80 

Figure  76:         Sensible  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  81 

Latent  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  82 

Figure  78:         Latent  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  83 


VIII 


Figure  79:  Short  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  84 

Figure  80:  Short  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  85 

Figure  81:  Long  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  86 

Figure  82:  Long  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  87 

Figure  83:  Net  Surface  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  88 

Figure  84  Net  Surface  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  and  SON page  89 

Figure  85  Net  Surface  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  Annual  Average page  90 

Figure  86:  Standard  Deviation  of  500mb  Height  (m)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  91 

Figure  87:  Standard  Deviation  of  500mb  Height  (m)  for  JJA  and  SON page  92 

Figure  88:        Standard  Deviation  of  200mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s) 

for  DJF  and  MAM  page  93 

Figure  89:        Standard  Deviation  of  200mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s) 

for  JJA  and  SON  page  94 

Figure  90         Standard  Deviation  of  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb) 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  95 

Figure  91  Standard  Deviation  of  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb) 

for  JJA  and  SON page  96 

Figure  92  500mb  Height  EOF  1  and  2  for  DJF page  97 

Figure  93  500mb  Height  EOF  1  and  2  for  MAM page  98 

Figure  94  500mb  Height  EOF  1  and  2  for  JJA page  99 

Figure  95  500mb  Height  EOF  1  and  2  for  SON page  100 

Figure  96         3-10  Day  filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux 

(°C  •  m/s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  101 

Figure  97  3-10  Day  filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux 

(°C- m/s)  for  JJA  and  SON page  102 

Figure  98  3-10  Day  filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Moisture  Flux 

(g  ■  m/kg  ■  s)  for  DJF  and  MAM page  103 


i\ 


Figure  99  3-10  Day  filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Moisture  Flux 

{g    m    kg    s)   for  JJA  and  SON page  104 

Figure  100       3- 1 0  Day  filtered  200mb  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m2/s2)  for 

DJFandMAM page  105 

Figure  101        3-10  Day  filtered  200mb  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m2/s2)  for 

JJA  and  SON page  106 

Figure  102        3-10  Day  filtered  200mb  Kinetic  Energy  (m2/s2)  for 

DJFandMAM page  107 

Figure  103        3-10  Day  filtered  200mb  Kinetic  Energy  (m2/s2)  for 

JJA  and  SON page  108 

Figure  104        3-10  Day  filtered  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C  •  m/s)  , 

averaged  35N-55N,  for  DJF  and  MAM page  109 

Figure  105        3-10  Day  filtered  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux  (°C  ■  m/s)  , 

averaged  35N-55N,  for  JJA  and  SON page  110 

Figure  106        3-10  Day  filtered  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m2/s2),  averaged 

35N-55N,  for  DJF  and  MAM page  1 1 1 

Figure  107        3-10  Day  filtered  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum  (m2/s2),  averaged 

35N-55N,  for  JJA  and  SON page  112 

Figure  108        Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)  ,  averaged  35N-55N, 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  1 13 

Figure  109       Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)  ,  averaged  35N-55N, 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  1 14 

Figure  1  10        3-10  Day  Filtered  Standard  Deviation  of  250mb  Geopotential 
Height  (m)  (top)  and  Monthly  Mean  250mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s) 
page  1 15 

Figure  1  1  1         Mean  Zonal  Circulation  Streamlines  and  Vectors,  averaged 

20N-20S,  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) page  1 16 

Figure  1  12        Mean  Zonal  Circulation  Streamlines  and  Vectors,  averaged 

20N-20S,  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) page  1  17 

I  igure  113        Net  Diabatic  Heating  CC/day)  ,  averaged  10N-10S, 

for  DJF  and  MAM page  1  18 

Figure  1  14       Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)  ,  averaged  10N-10S, 

for  JJA  and  SON page  119 


X 


Figure  1 15        250mb  Velocity  Potential  Anomalies  (m2/s)  filtered  to  retain 
periodicities  of  20-100  days,  averaged  10N-10S,  for  model 
year  4 page  120 

Figure  1 16        250mb  Velocity  Potential  Anomalies  (m2/s)  filtered  to  retain 
periodicities  of  20-100  days,  averaged  10N-10S,  for  model 
year  7 page  121 


\i 


I  ist  of  Symbols  and  Definitions 

CI  P  Fractional  Cloudiness 

q  Specific  Humidit) 

Specific  Humidit)  at  850  nib 

v'q'  Transient  Meridional  Moisture  Flux 

Q]h  Latent  Heat  Flux  at  the  Surface 

1  ong  Wave  Radiative  Flux  at  the  Surface 
Q  Net  Radiative  Flux  at  the  Surface 

Sensible  Heat  Flux  at  the  Surface 
O  Short  Wave  Radiative  Flux  at  the  Surface 

Qnc(  Net  Diabatic  Heating 

Q  j  --  Net  Diabatic  Heating  at  Sigma  Level  0.57 

I  Q     .3(7  Mass  Weighted  Vertical  Integral  of  Net  Diabatic  Heating 

Prec  Precipitation  at  the  Surface 

P_i  Mean  Sea  Level  Pressure 

\J  Stream  Function 

'/  Velocity  Potential 

/  .       100  20-100  Day  Filtered  Anomalies  of  Velocity  Potential 

0  Potential  Temperature 
T                                                         Temperature 

T700  Temperature  at  700  mb 

1  Surface  Wind  Stress 

V  7"  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux 

rT',  _  .q  3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Heat  Flux 

u  Zonal  Velocity 

Zonal  Velocity  at  200  mb 

Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum 

u'v\  _  ,f)  3-10  Day  Filtered  Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal  Momentum 

v  Meridional  Velocity 

Meridional  Velocity  at  2(X)  mb 
Total  Velocity  at  the  Surface 

0)  Vertical  Velocity 

z-ir/j  Geopotential  Height  at  200  mb 

<~>  3-10  Day  filtered  Standard  Deviation 

G  Interannual  Standard  Deviation 

X*  Zonal  Anomaly 

'lime  Average 

Departure  from  the  time  average 
\x\  Zonal  Average 

Meridional  Average 


xu 


1.  Introduction 


1.        Introduction 

An  atlas  of  the  Geophysical  Fluid  Dynamics  Laboratory  (GFDL)  Rhomboi- 
dal  30  with  14  Sigma  Levels  (R30S14)  general  circulation  model  (GCM)  is  made 
available  in  order  to  facilitate  the  intercomparison  of  the  climate  and  variability  of 
the  model  with  observations  and  other  modeling  studies.  Our  goal  is  to  reveal  some 
of  the  model's  strengths  and  weaknesses,  providing  a  benchmark  for  future  experi- 
ments with  the  GFDL  model. 

The  R30S14  version  of  the  GFDL  GCM  is  a  global,  spectral,  primitive 
equation  model.  There  are  14  unequally  spaced  sigma  levels  in  the  vertical  (from 
0.9967  to  0.015)  and  a  rhomboidal  truncation  at  wave  number  30,  yielding  a  hori- 
zontal grid  spacing  of  approximately  3.75°  of  longitude  and  2.225°  of  latitude.  The 
model  has  seasonally  varying  insolation,  sea  surface  temperature  (SST)  and  sea  ice, 
but  the  values  are  fixed  for  each  day.  The  SSTs  and  sea  ice  vary  according  to  long- 
term  observed  climatologies  and  the  same  cycle  is  repeated  for  each  year  in  this  17 
year  integration.  The  spectral  representation  of  the  orography  has  been  improved 
by  smoothing  out  some  of  the  artificial  ripples  in  the  field  that  are  generated  by  the 
spectral  transformation.  This  model  also  features  gravity  wave  drag  and  predicted 
clouds.  Stratiform  clouds  form  and  large  scale  precipitation  begins  when  the  rela- 
tive humidity  exceeds  100%.  Subgrid  scale  precipitation  is  parameterized  by  moist 
convective  adjustment.  The  surface  temperature  over  land  is  calculated  assuming 
there  is  no  heat  storage  in  the  ground.  Soil  moisture  is  predicted  using  the  bucket 
method,  in  which  the  ground  can  absorb  up  to  15  cm  of  rainfall  before  runoff  begins 
(Manabe,  1969).  Standard  bulk  aerodynamic  formula  are  used  to  calculate  the  sur- 
face wind  stress  and  sensible  and  latent  heat  fluxes  using  a  constant  transfer  coeffi- 

cient  of  1x10  over  the  oceans  and  3x10  over  land.  More  details  on  the  GFDL 
GCM  can  be  found  in  Gordon  and  Stern  (1982),  Manabe  and  Hahn  (1981)  and  Lau 
(1981). 


2.    Data  Analysis 

The  seasonal  mean  statisties  for  Deeember-January-February  (DJF), 
March- April-May  iMAM).  June-July-August  (JJA),  and  September-October-No- 
\ ember  (SON),  are  calculated  from  16  years  of  daily  output  from  the  GFDL 
R30S  14  model  run.  Data  from  the  model's  sigma  surfaces  are  interpolated  to  pres- 
sure levels:  the  temperature  and  wind  fields  are  interpolated  linearly,  while  specific 
humidity  is  interpolated  logarithmically  to  pressure  surfaces.  In  the  model's  cloud 
cover  scheme,  there  is  no  fractional  cloudiness;  a  grid  point  at  a  given  sigma  level 
is  either  clear  or  completely  overcast.  The  fractional  cloudiness  shown  in  the  atlas 
is  a  measure  of  the  number  of  days  in  the  season  where  cloud  cover  is  present.  For 
the  layer  average  fractional  cloudiness,  the  entire  layer,  made  up  of  2-3  levels,  is 
considered  overcast  if  one  of  the  levels  is  overcast.  Diabatic  heating  is  calculated 
from  the  latent  heat  release  associated  with  condensation,  absorbed  radiation,  ver- 
tical diffusion  and  the  convective  adjustment  process;  both  the  clouds  and  diabatic 
heating  are  shown  on  sigma  surfaces.  The  mass  weighted  diabatic  heating  is  ob- 
tained by  summing  the  diabatic  heating  rate  over  the  14  model  layers. 

Variability  in  the  model  is  diagnosed  using  interannual  standard  deviations 


-      2 
li  =  1 


calculated  from  the  equation:  a(x)  =    |£  (x(-X)   /(n-  1)  ,  where  x,  is  the  average 


for  one  season  of  a  particular  year  (i),  x  is  the  long-term  ( 1 6  year)  seasonal  average, 
and  n  is  the  number  of  years.  Empiracal  Orthogonal  Function  (EOF)  analysis 
(Kutzbach,  1979)  is  used  to  objectively  identify  the  dominant  modes  of  500mb 
height  variability  over  the  Northern  Hemisphere.  The  fist  two  EOFs,  calculated  us- 
ing covariances  rather  than  correlations,  arc  presented. 

The  zonal  average  vertical  cross-sections  are  constructed  from  data  interpo- 
lated to  8  pressure  levels  (1000,  850,  700,  500,  300,  250,  200,  and  100  mb),  except 
for  the  vertical  cross-sections  of  cloud  cover,  mass-stream  function    and  diabatic 


heating,  which  are  constructed  from  the  original  14  sigma  levels  in  the  model.  The 
merdional  mass-stream  function,  \\f ,  is  caculated  following  Peixoto  and  Oort 

l 

(1992),  \i/  =   1*271/? cos  0  [v  •  P]  —  ,  where  R  is  the  radius  of  the  earth,  0  the  lati- 

J  8 

o 

tude,  g  is  gravity,  P  is  the  surface  pressure,  and  the  brackets  denote  a  zonal  average. 
A  solution  for  \j/  is  then  found  by  vertically  integrating  this  equation  starting  at  the 
top  of  the  atmosphere,  where  \j/  =  0 .  The  transient  meridional  momentum,  heat 
and  moisture  fluxes  are  derived  from  the  model  output  using  the  following  equa- 
tions: «V=  («-«)•  (v-v)  ,  v'T  =  (v-v)  •  (T-f)  ,  and  v'q'  =  (v-v)  ■  (q-q)  , 
where  x  is  the  daily  value  and  x  is  the  long-term  average  for  the  appropriate  season. 
These  quantities  are  calculated  daily  and  then  the  seasonal  and  zonal  means  are  con- 
structed from  the  daily  values. 

Time  filtering  of  certain  variables  is  performed  using  a  Lanczos  filter  (Jus- 
tice, 1976;  Duchon,  1979),  with  half  power  weights  at  3-10  days  to  isolate  synoptic 
times,  and  20-100  days  to  examine  the  Madden  and  Julian  Oscillation  (Madden  and 
Julian,  1971).  The  3-10  day  filter  is  also  used  to  examine  the  seasonal  cycle  of  the 
North  Pacific  and  North  Atlantic  storm  tracks  following  Nakamura  (1992).  We 
used  121  weights,  which  translated  to  a  data  loss  of  60  days  at  the  beginning  and 
end  of  the  17  year  time  series.  The  filtering  is  performed  on  daily  anomalies  (rela- 
tive to  the  long-term  monthly  mean)  and  the  total  standard  deviation  or  mean  of 
these  filtered  anomalies  are  then  calculated  (except  in  the  case  of  Figs  113  and  1 14, 
where  the  time  series  of  the  time  filtered  anomalies  are  shown) .  Only  model  years 
2-16  are  used  in  the  standard  deviation  calculations,  since  model  years  1  and  17  are 
truncated  by  the  filtering  process.  For  filtered  covariance  statistics,  each  individual 
variable  (i.e.  v')  is  filtered  before  computing  the  covariances.  A  few  variables, 
such  as  the  precipitation  and  vertical  velocity,  are  spatially  smoothed  using  a  nine 


point  filter  in  order  to  emphasize  large  scale  features.  The  filter  weights  the  central 
point,  the  four  adjacent  points,  and  the  four  corner  points  by  a  ratio  of  1:0.5:0.3. 

3.        References: 

Duchon.  C.  E..  1979:  Lanczos  filtering  in  one  and  two  dimensions.  J.  Appl.  Mete- 
or.. 18.  1016-1022. 

Gordon.  C.  T..  and  W.  F.  Stern.  1982:  A  description  of  the  GFDL  global  spectral 
model.  Mon.  Wea.  Rev.,  110,  625-644. 

Justice,  J.  H.,  1976:  Lanczos-type  smoothing  in  N-dimensions.  Division  of  Math. 
Sci.  paper.  University  of  Tulsa,  24  pp. 

Kutzbach.  J.  E.,  1970:  Large-scale  features  of  monthly  mean  Northern  Hemisphere 
sea-level  pressure.  Mon.  Wea.  Rev.,  98,  708-716. 

Lau.  N.-C.  1981:  A  diagnostic  study  of  recurrent  meteorological  anomalies  ap- 
pearing in  a  15-year  simulation  with  a  GFDL  general  circulation  model. 
Mon.  Wea.  Rev. ,  109,  2287-23 11. 

Madden,  R.  and  P.  R.  Julian,  1971:  Detection  of  a  40-50  day  oscillation  in  the  zonal 
wind  in  the  the  tropical  Pacific.  J.  Atmos.  Sci.,  28,  702-708. 

Manabe,  S.,  1969:  Climate  and  ocean  circulation,  Part  I,  The  atmospheric  circula- 
tion and  hydrology  of  the  earth's  surface.  Mon.  Wea.  Rev.,  97, 139-714. 

.  and  D.  G.  Hahn,  1981:   Simulation  of  atmospheric  variability.  Mon.  Wea. 

Rev.,  109, 2260-2286. 

Nakamura,  H.,  1992:  Midwinter  suppression  of  baroclinic  wave  activity  in  the  Pa- 
cific. J.  Atmos.  Sci.,  49,    1629-1642. 

Peixoto.  J.  P.  and  A.  H.  Oorrt,  1992:  Physics  of  Climate.  American  Institute  of 
Physics,  New  York,  New  York,  pp.  520. 


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4.5 

113 

1.5 


0 


6 

4.5 
13 
1.5 
0 


ire  25:       700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 
'       Southern  Hemisphere  for  D.JI;  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


U) 


T*7oo(°C) 


JJA 


o 


o 


180  E 


T*7oo(°C) 


SON 


180  E 


I 


4.5 

3 

1.5 

0 


6 
4.5 

1.5 
0 


Figure  26:      700mb  Departure  of  Temperature  from  the  Zonal  Mean 
( °  C),  Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


31 


z*500(m) 


P.ll- 


- 


- 


180  E 


z*50o(m) 


MAM 


O^C  -■ '  ^  -  ^r — s     „  ^~^r 

,-'-- 

'  /     ^!rJ^^>^c^~T^^^^~^-^l 

\\    - 

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'///f      J\M   '  zXy{^ 

w 

/ 

HjJjJpffi- 1  oovvyy 

^a&7 

fir 

7     f 

80  H 


175 

150 

125 

100 

75 

50 

25 

0 


"OOmb  Departure  ol'Cieopotential  Height  Iron)  the  Zonal  Mean  (m), 
Northern  Hemisphere  lor  I J>.H   flop)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


32 


z*5oo(m) 


JJA 


3* 


180  E 


500 


(m) 


SON 


80  E 


I 


175 
50 
25 

0 


Figure  28:      500mt>  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  irrij. 
Northern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


33 


z*50o(m)      DJF 


_ 


180E 


z*SOo(ni)       MAM 


80  E 


80 
60 
40 
20 

0 


80 
60 
40 
20 
0 


500mb  Departure  of  Geopotentia]  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (m), 
Southern  Hemisphere  for  D.JF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


34 


z*50o(m) 


JJA 


ON 


180  E 


2*500  (m) 


SON 


100 
80 
160 

20 
0 


100 


i  80 
60 
40 
20 

0 


180  E 


Figure  30: 


500mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (m) 
Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


35 


z*200(m) 


D.ll- 


_ 

3" 


- 


80  E 


200 


(m) 


MAM 


^___^^y  :._, 

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■  200 


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150 
100 
50 
0 


200 
150 
1  100 

i50 

0 


200mb  Departure  ol  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (m), 
Northern  Hemisphere  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


J6 


z*200  (m) 


JJA 


180  E 


z*200  (m) 


SON 


180  E 


150 
100 
50 

0 


150 
100 
50 

0 


Figure  32:      200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (m), 
Northern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


37 


z*2oo(m) 


DJF 


_ 


- 

c 
o 


180E 


z*9nn(m) 


MAM 


80 


75 
50 
25 

0 


Figure  200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (m), 

Southern  Hemisphere  for  D.II'  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


38 


z*20o(m) 


JJA 


c 

ON 


ON 


180  E 


z*2no(m) 


SON 


180  E 


125 

100 
175 


HHi 

150 


25 


0 


75 
50 
25 

0 


Figure  34:      200mb  Departure  of  Geopotential  Height  from  the  Zonal  Mean  (mj 
Southern  Hemisphere  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


39 


u-,01  (m/s) 


1X1 1 


'. 


•. 


- 
_ 


;- ;  s  - 


20E  180 

Lon  (des;) 


20W  60W 


60 
55 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 


u200(m/s) 


MAM 


N 


30N- 


t/j 


• 


|60 
1  55 
—  50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 


Lon  (cleg) 


Figure  35:      200  mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


40 


Uonn  (m/s) 


JJA 


60N 


30N 


S3 

-J 


120E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


45 
40 
35 
30 
25 


u2oo  (m/s) 


SON 


Lon (deg) 


Figure  36:      200  mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


45 
40 
35 
30 
25 


4! 


v2oo(m/s) 


DJF 


- 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


7.5 
5 

2.5 
0 


v7nn(m/s) 


MAM 


zh 


7.5 

5 

2.5 

0 


Lon  (deg) 


200  mb  Meridional  Wind  I ni/s;  ior  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


42 


v?00(m/s) 


JJA 


- 
-J 


7.5 

5 

2.5 

C 


Lon (deg) 


V2oo(m/s) 


SON 


20E  1! 

Lon (deg) 


60W 


5 
2.5 

0 


Figure  38:      200  mb  Meridional  Wind  (m/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


43 


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8 

6 

4 

2 


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Lon  (de^ 


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jC850(lxl06m2/s) 


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Lon  (den) 


12 


10 


8 
6 
4 
2 


850  inb  Velocity  Potential  i  !  x  10  '  m2/s)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


52 


XR,a   (lxl06m2/s) 


JJA 


14 

12 

10 

8 

6 

4 

2 


;20E  11 

Lon (deg) 


90N 


Xsso(lxl06m2/s) 


SON 


60E  120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


10 

8 

6 

4 
2 


Figure  48:      850  mb  Velocity  Potential  (1x10    rrr/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


53 


?,H    (1x10°  nr/s 


^ 


DJF 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (dec) 


-6 

-9 

-12 

-15 

-18 


5C90n  (lxl06m2/s) 


MAM 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


-6 
-9 


Figure  49: 


200  mb  Velocitv  Potent  i;ii  .  i  x  !(/"  nr/si  for  I  J.I  I-  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


54 


%200   (lxl06m2/s) 


JJA 


- 
-J 


6 
-9 

-12 
-15 
-18 
-21 
-24 
-27 


Lon  (des) 


%9nn  (lxl06m2/s) 


SON 


120E  II 

Lon  (des) 


-6 
-9 
-12 
-15 


Figure  50:      200  mb  Velocity  Potential  ( lx  10  nr/s)  for  JJA  I  topi  and  SON  (bottom) 


55 


*p850   (lxl06m2/s) 


DJF 


N 


N 


zi. 


i :  5 


U-"IU= 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


t}?850  (lxl06m2/s) 


MAM 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


6      7, 


850  mb  Stream  Function  f  i  x  I  0  '  nr/s)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


56 


>6_2 


Tj78,0   (1x10°  mz/s)  JJA 


60N  -( 


30M 


bJQ 


-J 


30S-. 


60S  — 


120E  1 

Lon  (deg) 


6_2, 


^0(lxlO°mz/s) 


SON 


60E 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


60W 


Figure  52:      850  mb  Stream  Function(  lxlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


57 


tp:oo   (lxl06m2/s) 


DJF 


D 


_ 


N 


■ 


:c 


: : 5  - 


60S- 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (des) 


6_2, 


^on(10Dnr7s) 


MAM 


-/, 


60N- 


'. 


. 


60S 


60E  120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


F-igure  53: 


200  nib  Stream  Function  ( 1x10    m2/sj  lor  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


58 


6_2, 


W) 


- 
-J 


tp,m   (1x10°  nV7s) 


JJA 


60E 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (des) 


60W 


6_2, 


T]79nn  (1x10°  nr7s) 


SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (de^) 


Figure  54:      200  mb  Stream  Function  ( IxlO6  m2/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


59 


qSs0lg/kg) 


DJF 


:  . 
— 


- 
_ 


30SH 


60S 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


I 


12 
1  1 
10 
9 

8 
7 

6 


q850  (g/kg) 


MAM 


_ 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60  W 


12 
111 

10 

9 

8 

7 

6 


850  mb  Specific  Humidity  (g/kg;  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
icld  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


60 


q85o(g/kg) 


JJA 


60K 


30N 


bij 
0) 

T3 


r3 


30S- 


50S 


Lon (deg) 


qsso  (g/kg) 


SON 


1 


12 

1  1 

10 

9 

8 

7 

6 


Lon (deg) 


Figure  56:      850  mb  Specific  Humidity  (g/kg)  ior  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


61 


co500(mb/day) 


DJF 


60  N 


: 


- 


30S 


60S- 


0 


25 


-50 

1-75 


100 


125 


Lon (deg) 


60N- 


30N- 


tru     (nib/day) 


MAM 


&/j 


30S- 


r/r 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


0 

-25 

-50 

.-75 

-100 

I 


125 


500  nib  Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
r!n-  fieid  was  smoothed  using  a9poini  iiltcr 'see  data  analysis  section). 


62 


G5,00  (mb/day) 


JJA 


CD 

•a 


-J 


60S  -  1 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (des) 


0 

-25 

-50 

-75 

-100 

-125 


CD,00  (mb/day) 


SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


S 
■ 

I 


0 

-25 

-50 

-75 

-100 

-125 


Figure  58'      500  mb  Vertical  Velocity  (mb/day)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


63 


: 


CLD,      (%) 


[>ll; 


60E  120E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


60W 


190 


■  75 


60 
45 
30 


CLDlow  (%) 


MAM 


"... 


■ 


180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


90 
75 

1  ^^ 

45 
30 


.    :- 

■. 
: 


Low  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.997,  0.979,  0.935) 
Clouds  [%)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
:ld  was  smoothed  using  a  9  poinl  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


64 


CLDlow{%) 


JJA 


— 


- 
- 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


90 


30 


CLDlow  (%) 


SON 


90N 


Lon (dee) 


Figure  60:      Low  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.997,  0.979,  0.935 ) 
Clouds  (%)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section; 


90 
75 
60 
45 
30 


65 


CLDmid{%) 


n.n 


. 


-- . 


Lon  (deg) 


CLDmid  (%) 


MAM 


Lon  (deg) 


Figure  61 :      Mid  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.568,  0.46) 

Clouds  ('/<  )  lor  [III   (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  Idler  (see  data  analysis  section). 


45 


■  37.5 


30 


22.5 


15 


4  b 


M37.5 
:  30 
22.5 
15 


66 


CLDnnd{%) 


JJA 


5/j 
— 


- 

_ 


90N 


60N- 


30N 


90S 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


60W 


45 
37.5 
30 
22.5 

15 


CLDmid  (%) 


SON 


Lon (deg) 


Figure  62:      Mid  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.568.  0.46) 

Clouds  (%)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


67 


CLDhi.h(%) 


n.ii- 


— 


- 
_ 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


I  60 
|  50 
I  40 

^30 


20 


s/j 


90N 


CLDW^  (%) 


MAM 


• 


Lon  (deg) 


Figure  63:       High  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.353,  0.257) 
Clouds  (%)  for  DJF  Mopi  and  MAM  (bottom) 
:ld  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section 


60 


68 


CLDhlKh{%) 


JJA 


73 


- 

-J 


Lon (des) 


90S^ 


Lon  (deg) 


Figure  64:      High  level  Composite  (sigma  levels  0.355,  0.257) 

Clouds  (%)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


60 


B50 
J  40 

"30 

20 


60 
50 
40 
30 
20 


69 


\Qneldo   (°C  day) 


DJF 


60N  - 


Z:. 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


4.5 

3.75 

3 

2.25 

1.5 

0.75 


0 


\Qneldo   CC/day) 


MAM 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


4.5 

3.75 

3 

2.25 

1.5 

0.75 

0 


figure  65:       Mass  Weighted  Vertical  Integral  of 
)iabatic  Heating  (°C  / 'day)   for  DJF  'top;  and  MAM  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


70 


JS„,ao  rC/clay) 


JJA 


60N 


30  N 


00 


30S- 


60S- 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


4.5 

3.75 

3 

2.25 

1.5 

0.75 

0 


$Qnetdc>    CC/day)  SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


0.75 

0 


Figure  66:      Mass  Weighted  Vertical  Integral  of 

Net  Diabatic  Heating  (°C/day)   for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


71 


6.  Seasonal  Mean  Surface  Plots 


Free  (mm/day)  DJF 


'. 


30N 


_ 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


16 

14 
12 
10 

8 
6 

4 


Prec  (mm/day) 


MAM 


60N 


30N 


W) 


30S- 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


16 
14 
1  12 
I  1  0 

8 


6 


4 


Figure  67-      Precipitation  (mm/day)  lor  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


72 


60N 


30N- 


30S 


60S 


Prec  (mm/day) 


60E 


JJA 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


I 


16 

I  12 

I  10 
|g 

6 

4 


Prec  (mm/day) 


SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (des) 


Figure  68:      Precipitation  ( mm/day j  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


73 


P.,  (mb) 


DJF 


'. 


— 


- 
_ 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


1008 
1004 

l1000 
5  996 

992 

988 

984 


Ps,(mb) 


MAM 


S/J 


120E  180 

Lon  (dcg) 


1008 

1004 

1000 

996 

992 

988 


1 
1984 


l 


69        Mean  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb.i  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom ) 


74 


Ps,  (mb) 


JJA 


H-l 


60E 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


1008 


1004 

1000 

996 

992 

988 

984 


i 


Ps,  (mb) 


SON 


60N- 


30N 


T3 


-J 


30S- 


60S 


120E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


1008 
1004 
1000 
996 
992 
988 
1  984 


1 


Figure  70:      Mean  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb)  for  JJA  (topj  and  SON  (bottom) 


75 


Vsfc  (m/s) 


DJF 


- 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (des) 


12 

l   10 

I  8 

6 


90N 


60N 


Vsfc  (m/s) 


MAM 


Zij 


— 


-;;■ 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


12 


10 


*8 

I  6 
i4 


f'igure  71        Surface  Wind  Speed  ;m/s;  and  Direction  (equal  length  vectors) 
for  DJF  (top;  and  MAM  (bottom) 


76 


W) 


-J 


90N 


60N- 


30N- 


Vsfc  (m/s) 


JJA 


30S 


60S-1 


90S 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


12 

I  10 

8 
6 
4 


90N 


Vsfc  (m/s) 


SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


6 

4 


Figure  72:      Surface  Wind  Speed  im/s>  ana  Direction  (equal  length  vectors; 

for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


77 


K3 

-J 


90N 


60N- 


T  (N/m2) 


DJF 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


1| 


0.35 
10.3 
So. 25 
(0.2 

0.15 


90N 


t  (N/m2) 


MAM 


90S 


60E  120E  180  120W  60W  0 

Lon (deg) 


0.35 
0.3 
I  0.25 
0.2 
0.15 


Figure  73: 


Surface  Wind  Stress  (N/m2)  and  Direction  (equal  length  vectors) 
for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


78 


C3 


90N 


T  (N/m2) 


JJA 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


■  0.4 

J  0.35 

Jo. 3 

^0.25 

I  0.2 

0.15 

90N 


T  (N/m2) 


SON 


60E 


120E      180      120W     60W 

Lon  (deg) 


I 

III0-4 
0.35 

0.3 

0.25 

0.2 

0.15 


Figure  74:      Surface  Wind  Stress  (N/m2)  and  Direction  (equal  length  vectors) 

for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


79 


Qsh(W/m2) 


DJF 


60N-* 


~3 


_ 


120E  180 

Lon  (deg) 


20 
105 
90 
75 
60 
45 
30 


Qsh  (W/m2) 


MAM 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


Figure  75:      Sensible  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean. 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


80 


Qsh  (W/m2) 


JJA 


60N 


30N 


X3 


73 

- 


EQ- 


30S 


60S 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon (dee) 


90 
75 

„  60 

^45 


30 


Qsh  (W/m2) 


SON 


20E  180  120W  60W  0 

Lon  (deg) 


90 

75 
60 
45 
30 


Figure  76:       Sensible  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean. 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


81 


Q,h  (W/m2) 


DJF 


60N 


30NH 


30S- 


60S- 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


200 
175 
150 
11  125 
100 


Qih  (W/m2) 


MAM 


60E 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


200 
175 
1  1  50 
125 
100 


Figure  77:      Latent  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


82 


Q,h  (W/m2) 


JJA 


60N 


30NH 


-J 


30S 


60S 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (des) 


200 
175 

150 

\ 

1  25 
100 


Qih  (W/m2) 


SON 


60N- 


30N 


73 
-J 


30S 


60S- 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


200 
175 

1  150 


1  25 


100 


Figure  78:      Latent  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean. 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


83 


Qsw  (W/m2) 


DJF 


300 
275 
250 
I  225 
200 


Lon  (des) 


Qsw  (W/m2) 


MAM 


60N-- 


30N- 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


300 
275 

1250 

l225 

200 


Figure  79:      Short  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  gain  to  the  ocean. 

I  his  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


X4 


Qsw  (W/m2) 


JJA 


60N- 


30N 


Si) 
0) 

3 


30S 


60S 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


Qsw  (W/m2) 


SON 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


?3 


300 
275 
250 
225 
200 


Figure  80:      Short  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  gain  to  the  ocean. 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


85 


Qi*  (W/m2) 


DJF 


. 


;-:\ 


1) 


_ 


; :  5 


• ;  s  ■- 


20E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (des) 


100 

90 

80 

70 

60 


Q,w  (W/m-) 


MAM 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


100 

90 

80 

70 

60 


Long  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  DJF  Hop)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean. 
field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


86 


Qlw  (W/m2)  JJA 


60N 


-J 


20E  180 

Lon  (deg) 


I 


100 


■ 

■H  Q  Q 

'     80 

I 
I  70 

*60 


Qiw  (W/m2) 


SON 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


I 


100 


lli90 

■  80 

60 


Figure  82:      Long  Wave  Radiative  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  loss  from  the  ocean. 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


87 


Qo  C*/m:) 


DJF 


'■ 


30N 


•: ;  5 


120E  180 

Lon (deg) 


160 

120 
80 
40 
0 


Qo  (W/m2) 


MAM 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


160 

120 

80 

40 

0 


Net  Surface  Heal    Mux  (W/m2)  lor  DJF  (lop)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  gain  to  the  ocean. 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  ()  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


:■::-; 


Qo  (W/m2) 


JJA 


60N 


30N- 


- 


30S 


60S- 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


160 

120 

80 

40 


■  0 


Qo  (W/m2) 


SON 


60N- 


30N 


bJO 

T3 


- 


30S-  • 


60S 


20E  180 

Lon  (des;) 


160 
■  120 
|80 

m  40 
0 


Figure  84:      Net  Surface  Heat  Flux  (W/m2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

A  positive  flux  indicates  an  energy  gain  to  the  ocean. 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


89 


v. 

< 


id 


B 

O 

* 

4-J 

o 

1) 

o 

m 

■— 
> 

< 

3 
B 
B 

the  ocean, 
ta  analysis  se 

5= 
o 

CM       I 

|o 

< 
•— 

3. 

n 

y  gain  to 
er  (see  da 

|(0 

_ 

S 

W)Ei 

U     :-H 

0/J 

E    *-< 

T3 

X 

0>     E 

3 

E     O 

o     1 

lo 

B 

U. 

c3     &, 

<o     H 

!■«*■ 

O 

3  «* 

1 

% 

J 

r3 

5 

(U 

rt 

o    bo 

•-5.5 

o 

o 

E     52 

CM 

— 
■— 

3 
CO 

e  flux  i 
othed  l 

Ul 

o 

CM 

Ul 
O 

O 

z 

in 

CC 

— 
3 
00 

LE 

A  positiv 
This  field  was  smo 

(§9p)  j^q 
90 


7.  Interannual  Variability: 
Interannual  Standard  Deviations  and  EOF's 


d(Zsnn)  (m) 


DJF 


60N 


30N- 


r3 


30S 


60S 


60E  120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


70 
60 
50 

30 
20 


a(zj  (m) 


•500 


MAM 


60E 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


60W 


70 
60 
|50 
!40 
30 
20 


Figure  86:      Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  500  mb  Geopotential  Height  (m) 

for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


91 


o(:,()())(m) 


DJF 


-3 


7l 


20E  180 

Lon (dee) 


70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 


aUsm)   (m) 


MAM 


20E  180 

Lon  (deg) 


70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 


Figure  86: 


Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  500  mb  Geopotential  Height  (m) 
for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


91 


o(zsnn)(m) 


JJA 


?;\  - 


30N- 


— 


1 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


a(z.m)  (m) 


J500 


SON 


20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


50 
"40 
30 
20 


Figure  87:      Interannuai  Standard  Deviation  of  500  mb  Geopotential  Height  (m) 

for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


92 


a(w9nn)  (m/s) 


DJF 


T3 


S3 

-J 


120E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


8 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 


a(w9nn)  (m/s) 


MAM 


120E  180 

Lon  (deg) 


20W  60W 


8 

7 

6 
5 

4 
3 


Figure  88:      Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  200  mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s) 
for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


93 


G(//,m)  (m/s) 


JJA 


60N- 


30N- 


_ 


30S 


60S 


Lon  (deg) 


a(w9m)  (m/s) 


SON 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


4 


Mgure  89:      Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  200  mb  Zonal  Wind  (m/s) 
for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


04 


c(P  .)  (mb) 


DJF 


60N 


30N 


T3 


-J 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


6 

5.5 
5 
r4.5 

A 

1 3.5 

3 

2.5 

2 


a  OP.,)  (mb) 


MAM 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


60W 


::■.     :   ■ 


Figure  90:      Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  Sea  Level  Pressure  (mb) 
for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


95 


a(Psl)  (mb) 


JJA 


60  N 


30N 


3 


30S-. 


60S 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


5 
4.5 

4 

3.5 
■  3 

2.5 
2 


a(P5/)  (mb) 


SON 


60E 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


Figure  9 1 :      Interannual  Standard  Deviation  of  Sea  Level  Pressure  ( mb  I 
for  JJA  (top;  and  SON  (bottom) 


96 


zsnn  EOF  1   (37.4%)  DJF 


•500 


o 


0.05 
0.04 
0.03 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


o 


■500 


180  E 


EOF  2  (21.1%)    DJF 


180  E 


Figure  92:      500mb  Height  Empirical  Orthogonal  Functions 
(using  covariances)  for  EOF  1  (top)  and  EOF  2  (bottom) 


0.05 
0.04 
0.05 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


97 


z500  EOF  1   (45.8%)  MAM 


'j- 


0.05 
0.04 
I  0.03 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


'J2 

O 


80  E 


z500  EOF  2  (12.9%)    MAM 


:0-0-0.0T^<-0.03v 


180E 


Figure  93:      500mb  Height  Empirical  Orthogonal  Functions 
(using  covariances)  for  EOF  1  (top)  and  EOF  2  (bottom) 


0.05 
0.04 
0.03 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


98 


■500 


EOF  1   (22.1%)  JJA 


© 


0.05 

0.04 

p0.03 

i:  :V :.  ;';■< 

0.01 
0 


© 


180  E 


z500  EOF  2  (14.7%)    JJA 


180  E 


Figure  94:      500mb  Height  Empirical  Orthogonal  Functions 
(using  covariances)  for  EOF  1  (top)  and  EOF  2  (bottom) 


0.05 
0.04 
0.03 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


99 


•500 


,  EOF  1   (35.3%)  SON 


o 


0.05 
0.04 
0.03 

a0.02 
0.01 

1  o 


c 


c500 


180  E 


EOF  2  (14.6%)    SON 


180  E 


Figure  95:      500mb  Height  Empirical  Orthogonal  Functions 
for  EOF  1  (top j  and  EOF  2  (bottom) 


0.05 
0.04 
0.03 
0.02 
0.01 
0 


1 00 


8.  Middle  Latitude  Processes 


60N 


30N 


-J 


Vr^h-|()(OC-'"AY) 


DJF 


30S 


60S-=^^ 


5 

4 


Lon (deg) 


MAM 


60S 


8 
7 

6 
5 
4 


Lon (deg) 

Figure  96:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Heat 

Flux  [°C  ■  m/s)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


101 


v'r 850  3-10  (°C-m/s) 


JJA 


60N 


30N 


— 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


8 
7 
■6 
5 
4 


Lon  (deg) 

Figure  97:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Heat 

Flux  (°C  •  m/s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 
This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


I 


8 


7 

■  6 

5 
4 


!02 


I'V^oK-m  (S-m/kg-s 


60N 


30N 


7d 


r3 


60E 


1 20E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


5 

r  4 

1§3 
2 


V4  850    3-10    (g-™/kg-s) 


MAM 


Lon  (deg) 

Figure  98:       Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Moisture 

Flux  (g  ■  m/kg  ■  s)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


5 
4 
3 
2 


103 


60  N 


30N 


-3 


30S 


60S 


v  q  85o  3-10  (8-m/kg-s) 


JJA 


60E  120E  180 

Lon (deg) 


20W 


60W 


3 
2 


v  4  850  3-10    (g-m/kg-s) 


SON 


Lon  (deg) 

Figure  99:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  850mb  Transient  Meridional  Moisture 

Flux  (#  •  m/kg  ■  s)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


3 
2 


104 


irv'nnh-u)  (m2/s2) 


60N 


30N 


<D 

73 


C3 


30S-^V 


6OS1 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (deg) 


25 

20 
15 
10 


MAM 


25 
20 

,  15 

1  10 

5 


Lon  (deg) 

Figure  100:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  200mb  Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal 

Momentum  (m2/s2)  for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


105 


"'v-;ooh-io  (m2/s2) 


JJA 


\ 


30N 


DO 

— 


- 

_ 


30S-L=H 


60S 


20E  180  120W 

Lon (dee) 


25 

20 
15 
10 
5 


Lon  (deg) 

Figure  101:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  200mb  Transient  Meridional  Flux  of  Zonal 

Momentum  (m2/s2)  for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 

This  field  was  smoothed  using  a  9  point  filter  (see  data  analysis  section). 


106 


-    u    3-10  +  v'  3-10  )  (m2/s2) 


DJF 


60N 


30N- 


30S 


60S 


120E  180  120W 

Lon  (deg) 


90 
80 
70 

50 
40 


60N 


30N 


-I  u    3-10  +  v'  3-10  J  (m^s2. 


MAM 


30S 


60S 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


Figure  102:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  200mb  Kinetic  Energy  (m2/s2) 
for  DJF  (top)  and  MAM  (bottom) 


107 


-I  u'  3-10  +  v'  3-10  J  (m2/s2) 


JJA 


60  N 


30NH 


EQ- 


30S 


60S-: 


120E  180  120W  60W 

Lon  (deg) 


90 
80 
1  70 
60 
50 
40 


60N 


30N 


1    -7T 


-[  u'  3-10  +  v'  3-10  J  (m2/s2) 


SON 


EQ^ 


30S 


60S 


20E  180  120W  60W 

Lon (deg) 


U70 

I  60 
50 
40 


Figure  103:      Mean  3-10  Day  Filtered  200mb  Kinetic  Energy  (m2/s2) 
for  JJA  (top)  and  SON  (bottom) 


108 


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Figure  1 10:      3-10  Day  Filtered  Standard  Deviation  of  250mb  Geopotential 

Heignt  (m)  (top)  and  Monthly  Mean  250mb  Zonal 

Wind  (m/s)(bottom),  averaged  30N-50N. 


115 


9.  Tropical  Processes 


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119 


{)U_  inn)  (  lxl°  m2/s)       Model  Year  4 


Lon (deg) 


Figure  115:     250mb  Velocity  Potential  (  1x10   m2/s)  filtered  to  retain  periodicities  of 
20-100  days,  averaged  ION- 1  OS,  for  model  year  4 


120 


{%20_100}  (lxl(f  m2/s)       Model  Year  7 


JAN 


FEB 


MAR 


APR 


MAY 


JUN 


JUL 


AUG 


SEP 


OCT 


NOV 


DEC 


Lon  (deg) 


Figure  1 16:     250mb  Velocity  Potential  (1x10    m2/s)  filtered  to  retain  periodicities  of 
20-100  days,  averaged  10N-10S.  for  model  year  7 


121 


<:  U.S.  GOVERNMENT  PRINTING  OFFICE:  1996—774-842 


ADDDDEM7Et171D 


ADDDDEM7ET71D